La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x263619fdf74053f5de0837538be9d8e35641dc6ff412360d64026683450ff612
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 4,169$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.78 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 4,039$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.42 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 31c | 4,007$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.25 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 55c | 1,765$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 30c | 1,541$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…f488backed No | 71c | 1,475$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,051$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.61 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 13c | 998.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Yes | 36c | 974.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 21c | 951.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.03 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 30c | 935.72$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 921.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 677.11$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.63 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 71c | 620$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 581.69$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.18 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 427.4$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Yes | 72c | 416.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 75c | 323.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 67c | 314$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 65c | 307.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 47c | 302.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 71c | 279.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 275.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 30c | 273.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 243$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 59c | 241.41$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.79 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 217.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.03 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 29c | 202$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 190.27$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 30c | 182.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 36c | 156.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 64c | 156.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 156$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes | 33c | 150.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 45c | 141.42$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 30c | 118.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 71c | 110.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…122dbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 69c | 88.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 76c | 84.58$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 71c | 82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 27c | 79.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 30c | 79.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…1facbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 70c | 58.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 48.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 47.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yes | 32c | 46.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 44.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed No | 45c | 43.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…839cbacked Yes | 31c | 36.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dff…b508backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 71c | 20.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 71c | 15.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.