College Football · resolved market
Michigan State vs. Minnesota
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6346198402f4aa2277fca213c82b620a8a51f5b740d02304ab8085ad4de267d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesotaof Michigan State, Minnesota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Minnesota | 64c | 80,065$51,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,859.19 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Michigan State | 36c | 37,727$13,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,684.9 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,100 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Michigan State | 37c | 12,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Minnesota | 63c | 11,697$7,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.89 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota | 63c | 11,503$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Michigan State | 49c | 10,360$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.38 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Michigan State | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Minnesota | 63c | 9,206$5,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.26 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota | 56c | 9,018$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.52 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota | 64c | 8,336$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.77 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michigan State | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Michigan State | 38c | 8,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Minnesota | 28c | 7,766$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,622.38 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota | 76c | 7,139$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.61 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Michigan State | 35c | 7,101$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.4 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan State | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Minnesota | 63c | 6,150$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.22 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Michigan State | 15c | 6,029$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Michigan State | 38c | 5,625$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.33 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Michigan State | 36c | 5,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Minnesota | 62c | 5,300$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.84 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Michigan State | 38c | 4,790$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.2 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minnesota | 51c | 4,570$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.56 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdf…23a0backed Minnesota | 67c | 4,419$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Michigan State | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan State | 50c | 3,842$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.31 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Michigan State | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Michigan State | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Michigan State | 36c | 2,750$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Michigan State | 40c | 2,215$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Minnesota | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan State | 38c | 1,972$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.32 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Michigan State | 37c | 1,800$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.4 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Minnesota | 51c | 1,773$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.54 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Michigan State | 45c | 1,687$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…955abacked Michigan State | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Minnesota | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Minnesota | 70c | 1,515$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Michigan State | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Michigan State | 35c | 1,124$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Michigan State | 42c | 1,028$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Minnesota | 58c | 1,022$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.27 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Michigan State | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Michigan State | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…bae4backed Michigan State | 39c | 894.82$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…3141backed Minnesota | 58c | 842.7$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota | 71c | 828.23$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.42 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minnesota | 63c | 707.64$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.78 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Minnesota | 70c | 529.07$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Michigan State | 37c | 508$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Minnesota | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Minnesota | 51c | 496$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Minnesota | 37c | 390$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…54d9backed Michigan State | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Minnesota | 63c | 368$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minnesota | 31c | 329$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.07 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Michigan State | 13c | 319.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Minnesota | 63c | 315.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Minnesota | 16c | 302$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.05 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Minnesota | 54c | 287.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Michigan State | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…482ebacked Minnesota | 12c | 200.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Michigan State | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Michigan State | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Michigan State | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Michigan State | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Minnesota | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Michigan State | 36c | 178.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Minnesota | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Minnesota | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Michigan State | 47c | 151.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Michigan State | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Michigan State | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Michigan State | 50c | 133.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Michigan State | 79c | 132.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Minnesota | 65c | 123.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Michigan State | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Michigan State | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Michigan State | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Michigan State | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43c…e0a1backed Minnesota | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Minnesota | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2a…c016backed Michigan State | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Minnesota | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Minnesota | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota | 54c | 75.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd8…87b4backed Michigan State | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Michigan State | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…533cbacked Michigan State | 78c | 65.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…f54dbacked Michigan State | 19c | 64.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Minnesota | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…152ebacked Minnesota | 64c | 58.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minnesota | 39c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Michigan State | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Minnesota | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Michigan State | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Minnesota | 55c | 45.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Michigan State | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Michigan State vs. Minnesotathis page
- O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota (-3.5)Michigan State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.