TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6a0…f54d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.31
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.1%+$8.93
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$17.13
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+42.9%+$5.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.81
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$38.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$16.94
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.03
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$10.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.38
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.23
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.9%+$10.36
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$25.67
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$20.26
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$14
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State vs. Minnesotabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Central Michigan vs. Western Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.