NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3d3b97ac1172f49bf401907b36bfdbd5816cf5c4d23d6813eae32a514fbbbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Stars, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $642,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Panthers | 55c | 153,528$83,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,596.18 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Stars | 43c | 58,765$25,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,268.85 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…eeb4backed Stars | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…88cabacked Stars | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Stars | 45c | 32,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Stars | 44c | 29,383$12,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,901.55 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…0bd9backed Stars | 0c | 21,210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Stars | 44c | 17,000$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…be49backed Stars | 50c | 15,559$7,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,779.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Panthers | 50c | 15,559$7,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,779.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 42c | 15,312$6,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.23 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Stars | 46c | 14,490$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 44c | 14,018$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.79 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…1a95backed Stars | 0c | 11,518$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 53c | 8,998$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.06 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Stars | 45c | 8,100$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Stars | 45c | 7,355$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.96 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Stars | 44c | 6,100$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.03 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Stars | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Stars | 42c | 5,681$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 56c | 5,543$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.02 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 43c | 5,154$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 43c | 5,047$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.84 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Stars | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…cb79backed Stars | 44c | 4,205$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Stars | 47c | 4,073$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.09 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 44c | 3,996$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Panthers | 57c | 3,737$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.56 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Panthers | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 45c | 2,867$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.93 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Panthers | 53c | 2,594$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.37 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 53c | 2,536$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.92 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Stars | 55c | 2,440$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.02 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 44c | 2,420$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…fab1backed Panthers | 57c | 2,358$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Stars | 53c | 2,242$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.82 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Panthers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Stars | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Stars | 43c | 2,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Panthers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Stars | 39c | 1,964$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.88 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Stars | 46c | 1,950$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.24 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 36c | 1,888$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.78 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…4b4abacked Panthers | 57c | 1,853$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Stars | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Panthers | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 42c | 1,769$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Stars | 45c | 1,631$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Panthers | 56c | 1,550$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Stars | 42c | 1,464$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.3 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Stars | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 43c | 1,183$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.07 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Stars | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Stars | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.89 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Panthers | 54c | 1,119$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Panthers | 44c | 1,112$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.72 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Panthers | 53c | 1,095$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.89 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Stars | 11c | 1,091$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Panthers | 53c | 1,078$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 44c | 1,041$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 42c | 1,014$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.88 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Stars | 46c | 1,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.17 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Stars | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Stars | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Stars | 43c | 837.21$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Panthers | 53c | 771.28$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 45c | 750.02$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.51 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ab…97a4backed Panthers | 56c | 741.07$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…feebbacked Stars | 45c | 737.78$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Panthers | 61c | 734.58$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.29 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Panthers | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Stars | 43c | 627.78$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Panthers | 56c | 537.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Stars | 16c | 527.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Stars | 10c | 521.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Stars | 43c | 510$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Stars | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Stars | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…ac0cbacked Panthers | 58c | 470.86$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…cf4dbacked Stars | 43c | 470.86$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Panthers | 56c | 426.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.79 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Panthers | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 21c | 390.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Stars | 42c | 371$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Panthers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Panthers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Panthers | 56c | 361.82$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Panthers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…fc24backed Stars | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…73dabacked Stars | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…3af9backed Panthers | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Panthers | 54c | 268.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…21c8backed Panthers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Panthersthis page
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.