TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x087e…73da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
44
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$86.03
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$78.75
Wild vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$127.78
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$83.33
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.25
Ducks vs. Bruinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$25.34
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$22.38
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$96.34
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.35
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$164.99
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$93.67
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-70.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$103
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.86
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$21.51
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$20.91
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.74
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$24.03
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$60.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$40.09
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 4 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.