NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5320366371002be6f8dba8937f2e6dfdef0d80a550844e7b5d21d1ee34167433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 973 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Senators | 46c | 99,390$45,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,719.31 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers | 54c | 42,480$22,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,540.8 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 54c | 26,803$14,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,233.49 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Oilers | 54c | 22,280$12,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,248.68 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Oilers | 55c | 19,196$10,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,656.96 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 55c | 17,598$9,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,944.62 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 45c | 15,732$7,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.36 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Senators | 45c | 14,799$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.72 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Oilers | 54c | 14,391$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.63 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers | 62c | 12,363$7,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.71 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Senators | 11c | 12,038$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.61 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Oilers | 53c | 10,554$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Senators | 44c | 9,685$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.41 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…c180backed Senators | 46c | 9,400$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 44c | 8,995$3,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.8 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…7365backed Oilers | 56c | 8,100$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Oilers | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.99 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Senators | 43c | 6,380$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.23 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Senators | 46c | 5,640$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.54 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Senators | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.9 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Senators | 5c | 4,800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 30c | 4,630$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.19 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 44c | 3,776$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.38 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 45c | 3,666$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Oilers | 57c | 3,400$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 20c | 3,269$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.6 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Senators | 45c | 3,264$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…7c91backed Senators | 43c | 3,000$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93da…12acbacked Oilers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Oilers | 54c | 2,723$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 27c | 2,640$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.76 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers | 55c | 2,289$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.11 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Senators | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Oilers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Oilers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Oilers | 55c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 35c | 1,964$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.98 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Oilers | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Senators | 11c | 1,771$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…a858backed Senators | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Oilers | 76c | 1,699$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.95 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…4f95backed Oilers | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9eefbacked Oilers | 55c | 1,658$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…9c8dbacked Senators | 46c | 1,656$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…acc7backed Oilers | 55c | 1,656$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…5930backed Senators | 46c | 1,655$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…129abacked Senators | 46c | 1,611$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…2a40backed Oilers | 55c | 1,610$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Senators | 1c | 1,532$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Oilers | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Senators | 45c | 1,472$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.18 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…74e8backed Oilers | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Senators | 46c | 1,287$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.31 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Oilers | 56c | 1,209$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.96 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 74c | 1,107$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.99 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…60afbacked Senators | 44c | 1,049$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Senators | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Senators | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Senators | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…ecc9backed Oilers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Senators | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Oilers | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Senators | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Oilers | 54c | 980.39$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Senators | 46c | 980.39$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Oilers | 54c | 928.22$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Senators | 46c | 928.22$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 28c | 910.59$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 54c | 880.59$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 54c | 857$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Senators | 43c | 805.09$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.19 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd837…ba4abacked Senators | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Oilers | 55c | 760.98$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.44 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Senators | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Oilers | 55c | 732$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.72 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Oilers | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Senators | 46c | 710.87$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f5…b1e3backed Oilers | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…936abacked Senators | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 55c | 654.48$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.51 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…75dbbacked Senators | 47c | 648.94$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…3436backed Oilers | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Oilers | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Oilers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Oilers | 54c | 551.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.81 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…a1e6backed Oilers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…e956backed Senators | 44c | 526$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Oilers | 76c | 525.75$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Oilers | 57c | 524.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oilers | 70c | 515$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 33c | 509.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.06 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Senators | 39c | 505.73$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Senatorsthis page
- Oilers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.