NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94094d64469680e537b94a328f7e253bed05c78bbbde75d1c7f5721ba9352297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23ff…b3c1backed Over | 56c | 76,000$42,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,560 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…dadebacked Over | 56c | 44,000$24,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…2fbabacked Under | 44c | 8,662$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e9…a8fbbacked Over | 55c | 8,659$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…6971backed Under | 44c | 8,395$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…4ebdbacked Under | 44c | 8,383$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…cc52backed Over | 55c | 8,281$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…d69ebacked Under | 44c | 7,641$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…3bfebacked Under | 44c | 7,480$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…c1abbacked Under | 44c | 7,322$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…e776backed Under | 44c | 7,040$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf1…81d2backed Under | 44c | 6,968$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…8bdfbacked Under | 44c | 6,911$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…d006backed Over | 55c | 6,470$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…b57dbacked Over | 55c | 6,460$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…faeebacked Over | 55c | 6,416$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…d674backed Under | 44c | 5,495$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…204dbacked Over | 55c | 5,337$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…dcc2backed Over | 55c | 5,298$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…a1b5backed Over | 55c | 5,263$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…a889backed Under | 44c | 5,206$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…950abacked Under | 44c | 5,149$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…4022backed Over | 55c | 5,041$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…27f7backed Over | 55c | 5,032$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06cf…e250backed Over | 55c | 4,861$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a77fbacked Over | 55c | 4,839$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…09cbbacked Under | 44c | 4,834$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…d9c8backed Over | 55c | 4,707$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a33…5cafbacked Under | 44c | 4,420$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…3ff7backed Under | 44c | 4,330$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…fb00backed Under | 44c | 4,179$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…fb2abacked Over | 55c | 4,045$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a9…33a4backed Over | 55c | 3,818$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…d9e1backed Over | 55c | 3,664$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…3c41backed Under | 44c | 3,621$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…f833backed Over | 55c | 3,619$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…2503backed Under | 44c | 3,607$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…f75dbacked Over | 55c | 3,271$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…7eb7backed Over | 55c | 3,202$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…49e6backed Under | 44c | 2,956$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf157…f11dbacked Under | 44c | 2,915$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…fd89backed Under | 45c | 2,886$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ad…e949backed Under | 44c | 2,718$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872a…4d24backed Under | 44c | 2,708$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…96d4backed Under | 44c | 2,602$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…dca9backed Over | 55c | 2,384$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…fd5cbacked Under | 44c | 2,232$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…e385backed Over | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c0…cb19backed Over | 55c | 2,149$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3e…efcfbacked Under | 44c | 2,107$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a1e3backed Under | 44c | 2,096$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…604cbacked Under | 44c | 1,976$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…7082backed Under | 44c | 1,943$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…dff4backed Over | 55c | 1,886$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed0…c6debacked Over | 55c | 1,845$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…234cbacked Over | 55c | 1,791$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 56c | 1,789$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…e09cbacked Over | 55c | 1,621$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7073…ff31backed Over | 55c | 1,620$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…f57abacked Over | 55c | 1,568$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…d61bbacked Over | 55c | 1,568$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…889abacked Over | 55c | 1,538$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 1,518$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.31 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6395backed Over | 55c | 1,494$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…e679backed Over | 55c | 1,397$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058f…4cd2backed Over | 55c | 1,001$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f380backed Under | 44c | 979$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1a…984ebacked Over | 55c | 765$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…ccd9backed Under | 44c | 525$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 49c | 465$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 55c | 412.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 274.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Over | 55c | 219.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 49c | 185.45$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 45c | 183.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Under | 49c | 123.51$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 49c | 107.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 54c | 99.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 75.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Under | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66de…71d4backed Over | 55c | 27.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Over | 55c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…540abacked Over | 57c | 18.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5this page
- Oilers vs. SenatorsOilers won
- Oilers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.