NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b2c274544424900f6bc67373d4bda41ac90fad6ff12129829b3095a146bab81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Heat | 52c | 43,296$22,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,342.06 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Spurs | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Spurs | 44c | 25,952$11,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,523.23 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 49c | 20,284$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Heat | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Spurs | 46c | 11,482$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,157.79 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs | 50c | 6,681$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.63 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Heat | 53c | 6,042$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Heat | 47c | 5,996$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.76 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 51c | 5,657$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.96 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Heat | 53c | 5,444$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Spurs | 50c | 5,019$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 55c | 4,208$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.42 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Spurs | 49c | 3,990$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.39 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Spurs | 50c | 3,750$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,609$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.5 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spurs | 59c | 3,378$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.65 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Heat | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Spurs | 60c | 2,993$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Spurs | 50c | 2,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spurs | 44c | 2,364$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.12 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Heat | 50c | 2,253$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.66 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…1fb3backed Heat | 56c | 1,925$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…4193backed Spurs | 52c | 1,852$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Heat | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 50c | 1,702$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,541$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Spurs | 45c | 1,500$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.78 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Heat | 40c | 1,438$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Heat | 50c | 1,401$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,381$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.17 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Heat | 40c | 1,290$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.85 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Spurs | 44c | 1,233$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Spurs | 44c | 1,126$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.76 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Heat | 48c | 1,066$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.4 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Spurs | 51c | 1,041$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Spurs | 46c | 1,025$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed Spurs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Heat | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Spurs | 77c | 986.87$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.4 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Spurs | 45c | 925$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Spurs | 51c | 900$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Spurs | 51c | 900$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Spurs | 49c | 881.74$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…6653backed Spurs | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Heat | 54c | 779.63$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Spurs | 44c | 699.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.98 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Spurs | 46c | 681.89$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.38 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Spurs | 80c | 658.75$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 137 | 66.4%91 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…a6eebacked Spurs | 58c | 607.6$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Heat | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Heat | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 62c | 576.84$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 50c | 570.29$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.72 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Spurs | 52c | 566.8$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.91 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Spurs | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Heat | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Heat | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…3da4backed Spurs | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Spurs | 48c | 457.44$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 44c | 452.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Spurs | 45c | 442.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…c9ffbacked Heat | 48c | 435$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Heat | 40c | 430$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Heat | 4c | 417.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Spurs | 46c | 391.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Spurs | 34c | 358.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.78 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Spurs | 45c | 357.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed Spurs | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Heat | 54c | 333$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Heat | 56c | 315.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Spurs | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…e036backed Heat | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Spurs | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Spurs | 41c | 293.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 9c | 292.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 45c | 291.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Heat | 52c | 286.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Spurs | 47c | 280.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Spurs | 52c | 271.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 52c | 253.27$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.7 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Spurs | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb3…d5f7backed Spurs | 50c | 250$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Spurs | 31c | 234.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Heat | 56c | 232.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Spurs | 51c | 225.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Spurs | 45c | 224.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…9540backed Spurs | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Spurs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Heat | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Spurs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Spurs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Heat | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Heat | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Heat | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Spurs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Heatthis page
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.