College Football · resolved market
Central Michigan vs. Western Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2be07068fbac9aa04e54c9d8478e67c5794ce7353df8ef16e5edafb2ae9587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Michiganof Central Michigan, Western Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $679,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Central Michigan | 36c | 574,053$205,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205,514.69 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Western Michigan | 63c | 179,352$113,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,483.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Western Michigan | 64c | 96,640$62,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,482.24 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Western Michigan | 65c | 56,011$36,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,844.64 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Western Michigan | 62c | 34,050$21,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.86 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Western Michigan | 64c | 31,594$20,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,306.57 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan | 64c | 26,419$16,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,460.89 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Western Michigan | 65c | 26,094$16,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,131.98 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Western Michigan | 63c | 19,314$12,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.15 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Western Michigan | 77c | 17,519$13,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.45 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Western Michigan | 66c | 17,000$11,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,780 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Western Michigan | 65c | 14,525$9,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.61 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Western Michigan | 64c | 14,000$8,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Western Michigan | 64c | 11,800$7,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Western Michigan | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Central Michigan | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Western Michigan | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Western Michigan | 65c | 6,000$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Western Michigan | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Western Michigan | 34c | 3,988$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.76 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Western Michigan | 65c | 3,456$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.6 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Western Michigan | 65c | 3,152$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.29 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Western Michigan | 35c | 3,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.91 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Western Michigan | 63c | 2,921$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.88 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Central Michigan | 33c | 2,613$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.24 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Central Michigan | 54c | 2,490$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Central Michigan | 67c | 2,195$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Western Michigan | 66c | 1,800$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.8 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Western Michigan | 65c | 1,230$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.68 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…54d9backed Western Michigan | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Central Michigan | 34c | 1,194$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Western Michigan | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Michigan | 40c | 989.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.77 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Central Michigan | 45c | 879.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Central Michigan | 62c | 842.59$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.72 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Western Michigan | 44c | 786.54$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.11 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Western Michigan | 63c | 782.54$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Central Michigan | 68c | 779.41$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Western Michigan | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Western Michigan | 47c | 677.71$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Western Michigan | 53c | 660.27$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.34 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Western Michigan | 66c | 651.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Western Michigan | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Western Michigan | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Western Michigan | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Michigan | 64c | 460.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Central Michigan | 52c | 400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Western Michigan | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Western Michigan | 64c | 391$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.76 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Western Michigan | 64c | 385$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Western Michigan | 67c | 335.82$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Central Michigan | 63c | 328.68$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Central Michigan | 34c | 322$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Western Michigan | 41c | 241.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8923backed Central Michigan | 36c | 202$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…f54dbacked Central Michigan | 23c | 171.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Western Michigan | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Central Michigan | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Central Michigan | 67c | 136.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Michigan | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Western Michigan | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Western Michigan | 32c | 101.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Central Michigan | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Western Michigan | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2440…bf2ebacked Western Michigan | 46c | 99.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Central Michigan | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Western Michigan | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Western Michigan | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Western Michigan | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Western Michigan | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…e7d5backed Central Michigan | 52c | 73.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Central Michigan | 34c | 61.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Western Michigan | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Michigan | 33c | 59.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Western Michigan | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Central Michigan | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…2ea7backed Central Michigan | 61c | 49.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Central Michigan | 37c | 41.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Central Michigan | 34c | 40.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…f2f1backed Central Michigan | 68c | 37.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Western Michigan | 65c | 32.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Western Michigan | 34c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…f578backed Central Michigan | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…119cbacked Central Michigan | 64c | 24.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…ae4cbacked Central Michigan | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Western Michigan | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…b883backed Central Michigan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan vs. Western Michiganthis page
- Central Michigan vs. Western Michigan: O/U 42.5Over won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-5.5)Central Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.