TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Hawks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons80c22,330$17,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,478.847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Hawks21c17,117$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.86943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Hawks46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.923426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Pistons71c6,274$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.1811459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons61c4,822$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.0965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb910…8624backed Hawks31c3,542$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Hawks32c3,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons51c3,044$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.1933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Hawks47c2,738$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.86141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons75c2,722$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Hawks27c2,400$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6488439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Hawks14c2,359$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3119137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Pistons52c2,287$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.0519642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Hawks20c2,210$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44840726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Pistons54c2,156$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.562142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Hawks49c2,135$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0463053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks28c2,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98a…2a0cbacked Pistons80c1,636$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.272040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Hawks15c1,295$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7116443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3558…91e7backed Pistons53c1,193$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Hawks13c1,129$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Pistons52c1,118$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Hawks48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7c…3228backed Hawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Hawks24c999.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23618437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks51c998.36$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.1637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b2…3845backed Hawks12c992.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Hawks15c990.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.511250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53af…421fbacked Pistons53c940.79$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Hawks34c897.05$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Pistons50c870.08$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5212247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d64…f082backed Hawks50c815.43$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hawks47c795.58$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.5246131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Hawks44c779.5$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.964637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Hawks48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Hawks43c699.64$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7619151.8%99 W · 92 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f7…987fbacked Pistons54c649.54$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25fc…be47backed Pistons54c640.78$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Pistons50c599.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.981668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3514…9f37backed Hawks48c592.94$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c4…c2b0backed Pistons53c500.83$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Pistons53c471.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3710462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7060…37a2backed Hawks48c460.42$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks47c439.91$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a77…48febacked Hawks48c426.52$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb830…4c39backed Pistons54c426.43$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…7044backed Pistons70c424.61$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa17…b1ecbacked Hawks49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x642a…e166backed Hawks48c396.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a9…fe1dbacked Hawks48c396.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca75…6433backed Hawks48c396.1$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f44…01fcbacked Pistons54c396.06$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…ee18backed Hawks47c396.02$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…a174backed Pistons53c395.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc893…e3eebacked Pistons53c395.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6756…de48backed Pistons53c395.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf72b…0023backed Pistons76c374.11$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.79560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d06…ecd6backed Hawks48c355.15$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d0…034abacked Hawks49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfd6…9bb8backed Pistons52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16d…0af8backed Hawks48c298$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x350b…20cebacked Hawks48c292.13$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x484a…7ca9backed Pistons53c292.04$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks25c276.11$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.471,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d4…d566backed Hawks47c264.26$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x892a…89d8backed Hawks50c261.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4201…4334backed Pistons54c260.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.191241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Hawks7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.513611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Pistons80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5335…0b0fbacked Hawks12c246.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.582425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…6e8ebacked Pistons73c241.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.41233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…09ffbacked Pistons54c238.11$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Hawks19c235.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6811332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Hawks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c71…df54backed Hawks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc30…b440backed Hawks48c208.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Hawks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Hawks47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Pistons32c198.85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.531315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x491e…6ff3backed Hawks48c197.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8a…6cc9backed Hawks48c193.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Pistons52c191.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.874652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Hawks48c187.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Pistons44c186$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.166955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd06…8267backed Hawks48c185.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pistons54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1927041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Pistons54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…ac09backed Pistons52c183.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Hawks30c179.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.351216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-69.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Hawks50c164.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9711060%66 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc677…ac6abacked Hawks50c161.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd72…c99abacked Hawks49c161.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476f…9533backed Hawks7c154.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Hawks48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7210243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Hawks22c140.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9622430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a6…6d3cbacked Hawks47c140.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5be4…f39cbacked Hawks50c138.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.361650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Hawks48c133.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Pistons76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.