Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x617fd5d2192103acf49e4370d6423c223f1194b8b281fdcfe8b43648e040bf7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds Unitedof Chelsea, Leeds United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chelsea | 24c | 27,496$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.42 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chelsea | 25c | 25,000$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leeds United | 75c | 17,220$12,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.1 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Leeds United | 74c | 12,326$9,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.28 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Chelsea | 28c | 11,291$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.79 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Leeds United | 71c | 8,984$6,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.87 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Chelsea | 28c | 4,650$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Leeds United | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Chelsea | 26c | 2,200$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…f088backed Leeds United | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…f6bebacked Chelsea | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Chelsea | 8c | 1,848$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chelsea | 14c | 1,500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Chelsea | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chelsea | 27c | 1,296$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked Chelsea | 27c | 1,250$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Leeds United | 70c | 1,147$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Leeds United | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Leeds United | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Leeds United | 75c | 675.6$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.92 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Chelsea | 31c | 649.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Chelsea | 8c | 604.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…ec0abacked Chelsea | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Chelsea | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | -11.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Chelsea | 18c | 445.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Chelsea | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Leeds United | 72c | 347$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Chelsea | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Leeds United | 72c | 322.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Chelsea | 30c | 261.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Chelsea | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Chelsea | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Chelsea | 25c | 147.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Leeds United | 75c | 133.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Chelsea | 26c | 131$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Chelsea | 26c | 114.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Chelsea | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Chelsea | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…a909backed Chelsea | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760d…deaabacked Chelsea | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chelsea | 27c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Chelsea | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f1…db00backed Chelsea | 29c | 69.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Leeds United | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Leeds United | 73c | 51.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce14…7d5abacked Chelsea | 28c | 49.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Leeds United | 75c | 49.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Chelsea | 29c | 41.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…1f74backed Chelsea | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Leeds United | 75c | 35.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…68f3backed Leeds United | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Leeds United | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Leeds United | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87cfbacked Leeds United | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…2e5fbacked Leeds United | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Leeds United | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…fccdbacked Leeds United | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Leeds United | 74c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea (-1.5)this page
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Over won
- Leeds United vs. Chelsea: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.