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Champions League · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Over10c60,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9004228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Under78c9,813$7,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.841662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under45c6,797$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,762.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…14adbacked Over56c6,277$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Under44c6,277$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,515.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under43c5,046$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,876.983951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Over58c2,394$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.93955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under71c2,232$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.37146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c2,085$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.8646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Over56c1,967$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over55c1,378$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.0333851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over57c1,140$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over57c1,021$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5822236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4483351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1331…a406backed Over57c714.82$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34214732.7%48 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c568.62$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.0558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over57c567.44$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4434342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1901…21c8backed Under73c550.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.74666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Under44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under42c443.96$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.519150.3%96 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over55c374.42$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.932536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over57c347.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under43c318.86$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.752744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Over57c311.91$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17119344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over7c295.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6837544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8450…b5a9backed Over55c276.15$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under44c275.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4510744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.58038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d6…c060backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over55c183.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10117560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.57435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over57c173.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.999841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…94b2backed Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under43c152$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+119.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…5ab2backed Under44c148$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2e…b2f5backed Over57c147.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Over23c144.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.224332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+106.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+65.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Over57c114.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over57c110.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637639.5%30 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50c1…6c6cbacked Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-72%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582650%13 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac5…e61cbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over30c99.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.986839.7%27 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Under72c89.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.151450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4a…b153backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Over58c86.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Over57c83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under43c81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.17850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over58c78.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456666.7%44 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under42c76.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over57c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.473268.8%22 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…1d12backed Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Over58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7716…f8dcbacked Over44c68.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Under43c68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+83.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Over56c64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Over55c60.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Over57c58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330d…790ebacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Over56c52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920256.9%115 W · 87 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over54c49.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.16240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.452832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.213151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07c2…d895backed Over58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over57c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7660…fbf0backed Over58c42.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Over57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over55c37.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9210947.7%52 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Over57c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeabf…97e5backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x241c…5407backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2909…c95cbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dba…cb27backed Over57c34.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.