Champions League · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d846da19c4be7a507de74fedbfba6503fd7832d9a223998eb6d90ba7fc159f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 2,336$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 45c | 1,323$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.49 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 731.51$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 676.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.17 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 43c | 443.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.07 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 55c | 227.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 42c | 198.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…8d82backed Yes | 58c | 173.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 159$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2a49backed Yes | 36c | 138.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…b2e5backed No | 44c | 131.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 81.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…8194backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 42c | 40.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 27.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 27.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.