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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Imperial (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof fnatic, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$144,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,538 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Imperial43c17,224$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,350.369247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Imperial42c15,662$6,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,585.1367041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked fnatic57c11,089$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.0982251.6%424 W · 398 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed fnatic56c10,076$5,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.3372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Imperial44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.9957847.4%274 W · 304 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed fnatic78c8,428$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.172965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked fnatic77c6,855$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.423,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed fnatic57c6,700$3,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8814562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed fnatic58c5,203$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.83633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked fnatic56c4,814$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.9813646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed fnatic73c4,789$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.224,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Imperial25c4,201$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.3832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed fnatic58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6808042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Imperial43c3,817$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.9428248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed fnatic56c3,701$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.1910252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed fnatic66c3,523$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.591,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Imperial33c2,947$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.381,63444.7%731 W · 903 L+4.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked fnatic63c2,420$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.361,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Imperial43c2,249$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.9127452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed fnatic59c1,952$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.5822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed Imperial32c1,926$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.352955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed fnatic58c1,895$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.94862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Imperial25c1,865$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46112641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x928e…d701backed fnatic57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.654852.1%25 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Imperial8c1,751$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b51…edf0backed Imperial41c1,720$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.331533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ba…4e57backed Imperial44c1,698$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7477349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Imperial42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63077957.4%447 W · 332 L+1.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f5…bc87backed fnatic56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f0…b903backed Imperial44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Imperial11c1,387$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd10e…8404backed Imperial43c1,313$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed fnatic57c1,313$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Imperial44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c36…c1efbacked Imperial40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Imperial43c999.94$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9724139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Imperial42c977.64$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.3229855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked fnatic57c963$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.3961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Imperial42c899.69$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.075,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked fnatic57c824.79$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.666450%32 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked fnatic57c777$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.111,14949.4%568 W · 581 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Imperial43c704.84$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0821846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Imperial42c699.97$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9942341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Imperial45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Imperial27c619.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.011,61329.6%478 W · 1,135 L-90.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed Imperial12c599.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed fnatic69c594$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.142360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Imperial11c559.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc170…dfe9backed Imperial3c540$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158030%24 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed fnatic61c527.05$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0513461.9%83 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked fnatic61c523.44$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.447552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Imperial20c504.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.234219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked fnatic70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Imperial44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22034235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4b…84c9backed fnatic76c490.56$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.71181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Imperial26c467$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9320936.4%76 W · 133 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed fnatic57c462.91$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0515442.2%65 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed Imperial22c456.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.467955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Imperial36c450.2$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Imperial46c439.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20079740%319 W · 478 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Imperial43c433.01$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1921639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed fnatic59c426.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.96142.6%26 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Imperial39c426.23$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2327133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed fnatic68c383.9$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7422560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed fnatic56c379.46$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Imperial36c372.43$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13330527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Imperial10c370.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.879337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed fnatic58c354.14$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Imperial44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026651.1%136 W · 130 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked fnatic57c335.81$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.081,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed Imperial29c303$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.665147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed fnatic58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1276741.8%28 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked fnatic73c300$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a9f…4cc8backed Imperial16c281.09$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.731957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Imperial31c255.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8041234%140 W · 272 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked fnatic57c250.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.882948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7d…5769backed Imperial26c249$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.965747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked Imperial36c240$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.84040%16 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Imperial44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010942.2%46 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Imperial44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked fnatic56c223$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.124163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed fnatic57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.47739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Imperial43c201$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.433748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed fnatic57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8653746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b0…2a87backed fnatic57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Imperial7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414728.6%42 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebd…a1e7backed Imperial25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Imperial44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed fnatic57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8628344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df1…b575backed Imperial43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed fnatic55c198$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.163445.3%287 W · 347 L-2.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e24…f4ccbacked Imperial18c190.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed fnatic57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4420445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed fnatic58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4197445.5%443 W · 531 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked fnatic60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6777747.7%371 W · 406 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a3…102cbacked fnatic79c156.93$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e4…973ebacked Imperial20c155.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.151711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-84.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed Imperial12c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2511625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked fnatic57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.56564.6%42 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb10…bdd3backed Imperial46c141.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.