Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2326d86b97b4b666e43480a15ed470287f3e662acefc9188005198ca02cdae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof VARREL, Gen.G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed VARREL | 37c | 4,857$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.89 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa435…d34ebacked Gen.G Esports | 62c | 4,848$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Gen.G Esports | 65c | 4,397$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.7 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked VARREL | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VARREL | 35c | 2,213$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.44 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed VARREL | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Gen.G Esports | 62c | 1,312$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Gen.G Esports | 60c | 1,204$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.4 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Gen.G Esports | 16c | 934.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed VARREL | 45c | 588$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked VARREL | 26c | 366.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.13 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked VARREL | 34c | 352.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed VARREL | 24c | 318$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.62 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Gen.G Esports | 72c | 278.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked VARREL | 22c | 278.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…c5f1backed Gen.G Esports | 78c | 266.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…15c6backed VARREL | 41c | 209.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…de0abacked Gen.G Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed VARREL | 19c | 151.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed VARREL | 54c | 147$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked VARREL | 38c | 140.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed VARREL | 35c | 126.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Gen.G Esports | 65c | 126.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed VARREL | 19c | 118.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4262backed Gen.G Esports | 59c | 90.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked VARREL | 40c | 87.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed VARREL | 36c | 87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked VARREL | 36c | 86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed VARREL | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed VARREL | 36c | 79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…c04dbacked Gen.G Esports | 59c | 77.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Gen.G Esports | 65c | 75.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Gen.G Esports | 59c | 73.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…532cbacked VARREL | 35c | 68.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed VARREL | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked VARREL | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…3b84backed Gen.G Esports | 60c | 58.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Gen.G Esports | 71c | 56.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Gen.G Esports | 74c | 54.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gen.G Esports | 80c | 41.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…0e7dbacked Gen.G Esports | 59c | 41.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb873…c4ecbacked VARREL | 48c | 41.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL | 29c | 40.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Gen.G Esports | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed VARREL | 34c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cf…a424backed Gen.G Esports | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Gen.G Esports | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Gen.G Esports | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Gen.G Esports | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Gen.G Esports | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Gen.G Esports | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Gen.G Esports | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…958ebacked Gen.G Esports | 74c | 24.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Gen.G Esports | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Gen.G Esports | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4123…f014backed Gen.G Esports | 66c | 21.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Gen.G Esports | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Gen.G Esports | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…f0e0backed Gen.G Esports | 68c | 18.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…70b5backed Gen.G Esports | 60c | 17.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsGen.G Esports won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 WinnerGen.G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.