Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ad18d269039775d4ae415b2745f3b5498c2bca9a9b702f6d88696c2c0f77e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.G Esportsof VARREL, Gen.G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa435…d34ebacked VARREL | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gen.G Esports | 70c | 954.93$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.48 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Gen.G Esports | 70c | 649.6$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.88 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Gen.G Esports | 77c | 572.73$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed VARREL | 8c | 384.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked VARREL | 14c | 313.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked VARREL | 33c | 199.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed VARREL | 24c | 165$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked VARREL | 23c | 109.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gen.G Esports | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Gen.G Esports | 62c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Gen.G Esports | 77c | 99.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked VARREL | 14c | 87.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed VARREL | 32c | 84.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Gen.G Esports | 68c | 82.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Gen.G Esports | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5486…1b54backed Gen.G Esports | 67c | 71.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Gen.G Esports | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed VARREL | 23c | 58.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…ec41backed Gen.G Esports | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Gen.G Esports | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked Gen.G Esports | 72c | 15.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff PlayoffsGen.G Esports won
- Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 WinnerVARREL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.