Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52832031d2d1ea3426de0486ddc0a40a94ffe08d0261e45ac18ecb31ebccfa78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 11c | 3,750$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.04 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 70c | 3,427$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.79 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked No | 75c | 1,965$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…7e1cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,858$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,597$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 74c | 1,515$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.1 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 76c | 1,370$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3528…cc0cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,342$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ee…da09backed Yes | 22c | 1,311$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.12 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…9439backed Yes | 11c | 1,220$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8392…e3a2backed Yes | 10c | 1,001$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 144 | 20.8%30 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…4d62backed Yes | 24c | 990$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…1c27backed No | 74c | 935.55$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dec…14e9backed Yes | 26c | 850$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 17c | 776.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…162abacked No | 76c | 767.99$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1390…4ab8backed Yes | 40c | 751.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 76c | 735.68$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc7…4552backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…cc04backed Yes | 29c | 683.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…7899backed Yes | 6c | 657.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 22c | 656.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.57 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 77c | 655.31$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…fa95backed Yes | 36c | 652.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…2459backed Yes | 27c | 620.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…5b41backed Yes | 49c | 617.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4a…e333backed No | 68c | 610$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 22c | 601.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…5698backed Yes | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…0d53backed Yes | 27c | 566$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 34c | 532.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 18c | 527.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6244…4fffbacked Yes | 5c | 503.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…cb66backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 26c | 498.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…a1a1backed No | 62c | 485.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 483.86$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 54c | 476.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 69c | 461$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 71c | 435.8$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…64a1backed No | 73c | 412.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…2357backed Yes | 24c | 410.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 70c | 410$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c8…6933backed No | 69c | 410$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2a…b12bbacked Yes | 31c | 410$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 67c | 400$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…293fbacked Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…91adbacked Yes | 32c | 380$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 25c | 358.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…7ed6backed No | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fb…2e29backed No | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd734…8cbabacked No | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…3b2abacked No | 78c | 321.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…258bbacked Yes | 31c | 319.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…4444backed Yes | 16c | 314.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 24c | 313$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 5c | 311.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…c06abacked Yes | 33c | 300.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfc…389bbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…2712backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…d571backed Yes | 30c | 299.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 71c | 293.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 280.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…755cbacked Yes | 37c | 278.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 17c | 265.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…281bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…8397backed Yes | 39c | 259.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a06…8bf2backed Yes | 23c | 256$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…80d7backed No | 77c | 256$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…6ec8backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…bb51backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…4e2fbacked Yes | 30c | 247.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 28c | 244.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 235.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…acdcbacked Yes | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…d9dfbacked Yes | 27c | 215$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef7…dcf3backed No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…7b9ebacked Yes | 33c | 209.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…dcc7backed No | 75c | 206$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37f…2205backed Yes | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…3951backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2397…8cedbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…f52ebacked No | 73c | 196$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 17c | 192.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 24c | 191.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d0…6555backed Yes | 28c | 189.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…5418backed No | 73c | 186$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…e3abbacked Yes | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.