TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, Wolves Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Wolves Esports52c7,881$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.3628541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Trace Esports48c7,552$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,951.1710756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Wolves Esports55c6,500$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.5826738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Trace Esports45c5,996$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.82347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Wolves Esports1c3,890$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8227411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Trace Esports45c2,469$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.6778162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Wolves Esports56c1,100$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-68.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wolves Esports54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Trace Esports46c935.29$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.064744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Trace Esports36c897.03$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.0334253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Trace Esports49c866.33$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8319157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wolves Esports10c826$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Wolves Esports53c760$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.639042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc3…4c89backed Trace Esports43c720$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6a…e565backed Trace Esports43c675$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Trace Esports43c599.16$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34439545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b8…50d8backed Trace Esports41c589$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+72.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe4c…2c5ebacked Wolves Esports57c586.31$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Wolves Esports67c555.31$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.8626634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Wolves Esports10c505.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.367454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Wolves Esports55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2759837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wolves Esports9c489$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5411433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Trace Esports48c461.5$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.985250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Trace Esports19c422.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.0730828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b0…9a0fbacked Wolves Esports57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Trace Esports43c399.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Trace Esports24c387.27$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.526552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Trace Esports44c386.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.554535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd428…100abacked Wolves Esports57c375$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Wolves Esports57c348.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7d7…44a6backed Wolves Esports57c320$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports42c319.1$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.491,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trace Esports48c317.31$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.471,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e3…22c8backed Wolves Esports57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Wolves Esports54c278.43$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1496051.7%31 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a7c…1e8fbacked Trace Esports44c265$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a7…c3c7backed Trace Esports44c265$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b6…8887backed Trace Esports43c262$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d42…2be0backed Wolves Esports56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8f…b5cabacked Wolves Esports56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9502…006dbacked Wolves Esports57c257$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…459abacked Trace Esports43c256$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e43…ab1ebacked Wolves Esports56c255$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc42…9a2cbacked Wolves Esports56c255$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd361…797ebacked Wolves Esports57c253$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d5…7189backed Wolves Esports57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51aa…47e6backed Trace Esports44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…7581backed Trace Esports44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85cb…0d27backed Trace Esports43c248$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6678…491bbacked Wolves Esports57c247$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Wolves Esports47c246.32$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.532737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18dc…3d0dbacked Trace Esports43c241$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Wolves Esports50c230.49$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a81…baefbacked Wolves Esports57c216$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62b1…a0c4backed Trace Esports43c216$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x261d…ad76backed Trace Esports43c215$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a95…a7efbacked Wolves Esports57c215$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3695…d31ebacked Wolves Esports57c214$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba00…3ebabacked Trace Esports43c214$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3400…ce6abacked Trace Esports43c213$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…a66abacked Wolves Esports57c213$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb466…af17backed Trace Esports43c213$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…4aa4backed Wolves Esports57c213$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ec…d59dbacked Wolves Esports57c204$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4af4…35debacked Trace Esports43c204$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Wolves Esports55c190$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.56737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Trace Esports45c189.09$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043834.2%13 W · 25 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x764f…846ebacked Wolves Esports53c188.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Wolves Esports55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005664.3%36 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Wolves Esports56c178.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Trace Esports48c175.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.71662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc6…d353backed Trace Esports59c170.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Trace Esports43c149.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4886747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Wolves Esports67c146.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8414447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8157…f6ebbacked Wolves Esports52c142.33$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.013455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Trace Esports48c132.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Wolves Esports54c119.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7925745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Trace Esports44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6412151.2%62 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Trace Esports46c109.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.125040%20 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Wolves Esports48c105.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.822339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Wolves Esports52c105$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.925141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d6…532cbacked Trace Esports50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Trace Esports22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Trace Esports45c91.11$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1118056.7%102 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wolves Esports57c88.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7218241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Wolves Esports57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507960.8%48 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Wolves Esports53c81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.716647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x806c…d4fbbacked Wolves Esports55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Wolves Esports50c72.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0610743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9a…796cbacked Wolves Esports55c70.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.348750.6%44 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Wolves Esports45c67.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.334047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Trace Esports44c66.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.489644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Wolves Esports55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.72123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x842e…9173backed Wolves Esports55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b27…688fbacked Wolves Esports58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked Wolves Esports29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Trace Esports45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.514037.9%53 W · 87 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b54…c91bbacked Wolves Esports42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked Trace Esports49c49.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Trace Esports44c47.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7322955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.