TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b27…688f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-27.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,138.9%+$227.78
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: TEC Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+50.5%+$20.19
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
All 9 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.