TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof EDward Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Bilibili Gaming41c11,946$4,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,998.3134356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02a3…e71dbacked EDward Gaming54c7,791$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,24420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed Bilibili Gaming44c5,008$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,815.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed EDward Gaming58c4,972$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.852259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked EDward Gaming59c4,467$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.9478162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked EDward Gaming28c4,057$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.656063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed EDward Gaming55c3,840$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.8641537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Bilibili Gaming47c3,599$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.182347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed EDward Gaming60c2,000$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.422065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dea…285fbacked Bilibili Gaming46c1,848$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1935…f15bbacked EDward Gaming54c1,848$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c0f…942bbacked Bilibili Gaming43c1,817$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked EDward Gaming59c1,302$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7665540%22 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Bilibili Gaming43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68428548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Bilibili Gaming44c1,200$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.9933348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bilibili Gaming53c1,113$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.8628541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Bilibili Gaming40c1,034$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.2624732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Bilibili Gaming40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed EDward Gaming59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed EDward Gaming38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3804330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed EDward Gaming5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilibili Gaming58c978.33$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.481,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Bilibili Gaming42c971.44$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.872853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ce…98fbbacked EDward Gaming45c906.94$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed EDward Gaming55c900$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4934949%24 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Bilibili Gaming44c850$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.539042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Bilibili Gaming40c838.36$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed EDward Gaming56c805$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked EDward Gaming48c783.09$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6119157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa435…d34ebacked Bilibili Gaming67c751.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.111250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Bilibili Gaming48c674.53$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.132634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed EDward Gaming58c619.05$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0510661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd63a…9603backed EDward Gaming59c610.85$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8e…af16backed EDward Gaming47c603.65$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming42c599.97$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.9855152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Bilibili Gaming49c574.45$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9711854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed EDward Gaming45c565$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3439545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Bilibili Gaming80c564.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.524037.5%15 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed EDward Gaming56c550$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Bilibili Gaming42c530.55$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Bilibili Gaming41c477.39$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.4231232.7%102 W · 210 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed EDward Gaming36c469.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.073729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming38c463.5$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.081,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked EDward Gaming12c457.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8911433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Bilibili Gaming43c452.02$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.594047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Bilibili Gaming42c426.73$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.52263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked EDward Gaming3c393.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.812725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed EDward Gaming19c390$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed EDward Gaming45c385.42$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9854342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed EDward Gaming58c378.6$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.251050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed EDward Gaming56c326.23$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.697354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked EDward Gaming51c318.29$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1855348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Bilibili Gaming45c300$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6214447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5f…1c63backed Bilibili Gaming50c297.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed EDward Gaming46c287.74$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8279650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Bilibili Gaming49c281$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed EDward Gaming57c275$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7523847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked EDward Gaming58c260$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.825843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked EDward Gaming21c255.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.517039.4%67 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Bilibili Gaming53c242$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5614661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed EDward Gaming52c223.82$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.281050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bilibili Gaming44c210.51$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9217543.4%76 W · 99 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Bilibili Gaming48c209.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.771668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked EDward Gaming42c208.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7621240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bilibili Gaming43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc847…262fbacked EDward Gaming16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32560%3 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick12cpaid+381.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed EDward Gaming62c194.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12034253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed EDward Gaming27c184.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5177929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed EDward Gaming30c184.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9131634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed EDward Gaming55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009651%49 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed EDward Gaming57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed EDward Gaming58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked EDward Gaming59c170.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed EDward Gaming55c168.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.96339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed EDward Gaming60c167.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Bilibili Gaming62c161.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.558746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c97…b160backed Bilibili Gaming45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+78.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed EDward Gaming54c148$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9232152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ce…f562backed EDward Gaming26c140$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x353d…d4d8backed EDward Gaming44c135.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Bilibili Gaming47c127.12$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.124852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Bilibili Gaming40c126.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9210756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Bilibili Gaming42c122.51$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0523548.5%114 W · 121 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Bilibili Gaming42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.625745.9%118 W · 139 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde58…8610backed Bilibili Gaming45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed EDward Gaming38c115.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.775234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd75…ae75backed Bilibili Gaming66c113.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Bilibili Gaming51c112.27$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8852050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Bilibili Gaming44c110$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.612650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92a5…57d3backed Bilibili Gaming45c110$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5615…b5f8backed EDward Gaming55c109.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed EDward Gaming61c108.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0717537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Bilibili Gaming42c108.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.723050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Bilibili Gaming47c106.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.494452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x205a…08b3backed EDward Gaming59c106.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.232748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked EDward Gaming48c105.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed EDward Gaming58c103.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked EDward Gaming60c101.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617145.1%32 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccec…09acbacked Bilibili Gaming48c101.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…8995backed Bilibili Gaming45c100.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.