TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof EDward Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,340 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6998…ae95backed EDward Gaming10c1,362$132 inLost-$131.792634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b8…50d8backed EDward Gaming60c499.47$300 inLost-$300580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+72.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Bilibili Gaming64c411.98$262 inWon+$150.312853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked EDward Gaming24c348.21$83 inLost-$83.41,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked EDward Gaming7c332.83$22 inLost-$21.7524732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed EDward Gaming50c285.29$143 inLost-$143.4910661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked EDward Gaming45c228.8$102 inLost-$101.9221240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Bilibili Gaming56c226$127 inWon+$98.514447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8e…af16backed EDward Gaming13c223.08$29 inLost-$29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed EDward Gaming58c142$82 inLost-$82.363548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Bilibili Gaming53c138.29$74 inWon+$64.6139545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Bilibili Gaming60c128.52$77 inWon+$51.679650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bilibili Gaming54c104$56 inWon+$47.618241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Bilibili Gaming55c97.96$54 inWon+$43.9555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed EDward Gaming24c83.33$20 inLost-$2019945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked EDward Gaming34c76.18$26 inLost-$25.910743%46 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked EDward Gaming28c72.62$20 inLost-$202725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Bilibili Gaming50c40$20 inWon+$2051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Bilibili Gaming47c28.38$13 inWon+$15.046552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b54…c91bbacked EDward Gaming71c28.16$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.