TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,204 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4678…dd70backed Bilibili Gaming0c10,080$10 inLost-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked EDward Gaming60c1,270$762 inWon+$507.9378162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming3c957$27 inLost-$26.8227411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed EDward Gaming78c774.26$606 inWon+$168.566672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Bilibili Gaming42c767$320 inLost-$319.8419157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Bilibili Gaming40c767$307 inLost-$306.811854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed EDward Gaming58c678.03$393 inWon+$285.1410756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Bilibili Gaming3c655$20 inLost-$2024732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Bilibili Gaming40c416$166 inLost-$166.42969%20 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Bilibili Gaming15c361.7$53 inLost-$52.642634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed EDward Gaming60c352$209 inWon+$142.5239545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Bilibili Gaming40c302.5$121 inLost-$12115343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Bilibili Gaming40c300$120 inLost-$12014661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked EDward Gaming60c284.2$170 inWon+$113.8555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Bilibili Gaming22c261.06$56 inLost-$56.184047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked EDward Gaming68c188.24$127 inWon+$60.952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bilibili Gaming35c184$64 inLost-$64.341,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed EDward Gaming68c167.32$113 inWon+$54.2479650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661e…c63ebacked Bilibili Gaming40c100.33$40 inLost-$40.132725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bilibili Gaming35c82.85$29 inLost-$28.7588844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed EDward Gaming58c50$29 inWon+$2170251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed EDward Gaming58c50$29 inWon+$219750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked EDward Gaming60c33.33$20 inWon+$13.3351948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.