Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd752a45afa740660cc2383643ea44ff2c9a0ad565d9fcd8dec4d9cf19b33915
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 1,268$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.23 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…9bf7backed EDward Gaming | 19c | 1,018$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 888.97$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.82 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed EDward Gaming | 56c | 878$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.68 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 570.55$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.92 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 521.5$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 499.31$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed EDward Gaming | 27c | 498.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…6d7ebacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 484.56$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed EDward Gaming | 27c | 429.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 395.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed EDward Gaming | 22c | 357.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked XLG Gaming | 72c | 339.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 299.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed EDward Gaming | 18c | 274.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked EDward Gaming | 23c | 193$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked EDward Gaming | 55c | 185.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 182.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 172.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 168.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 153$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…3533backed XLG Gaming | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed EDward Gaming | 60c | 129$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked EDward Gaming | 45c | 119$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 107.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 102.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed XLG Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed EDward Gaming | 26c | 81.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked XLG Gaming | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed EDward Gaming | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 59.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…688fbacked EDward Gaming | 34c | 53.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed XLG Gaming | 62c | 52.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 48.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…c91bbacked XLG Gaming | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed XLG Gaming | 64c | 45.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 45.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…7e51backed EDward Gaming | 64c | 35.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…aa62backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 34.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 32.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 31.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 31.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked XLG Gaming | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed EDward Gaming | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…17ecbacked XLG Gaming | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked XLG Gaming | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…8e5fbacked EDward Gaming | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked EDward Gaming | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -8.6wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.