CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x495f8790b166df5b8f3c7a1a2d8aaa8f166e3a6c5c706eddcf7e16299f424013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Sangal, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Sangal | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.94 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 4,374$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.57 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 2,616$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.33 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 1,011$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.71 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sangal | 3c | 1,005$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…8a25backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 531.76$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…c3ddbacked Sangal | 43c | 501.05$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Sangal | 39c | 494.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 408.24$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 366.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 344.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 78c | 258.47$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Sangal | 43c | 245.63$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 219.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sangal | 42c | 189.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 449 | 44.8%201 W · 248 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sangal | 21c | 149.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 129.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 129.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 111.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Sangal | 39c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 79.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…532cbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 61.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…1839backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 47.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 33.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…2e81backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…7ab6backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61da…dc20backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 19.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e1…e3c9backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 17.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.