TailMyPicks
Market

Asian League · resolved market

Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,960
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,960 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over56c32,976$18,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,536.213961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6003946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under43c5,898$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.312,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under44c3,752$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.271968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c2,521$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.1627540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c2,449$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.355,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c2,333$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.0362652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1203354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Under39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed Under79c999.99$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3364946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over64c504.41$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.6710522.9%24 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Under39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3058445.2%38 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under44c452.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under42c366.24$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7323927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under79c350$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.58155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under44c320$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.25345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under52c248.92$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.271643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under43c217.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2610650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004040%16 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over58c195.71$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.056145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over57c171.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.578046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under44c170.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.454955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under44c152$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.122642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over59c125.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.977945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c122$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5416454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.23644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under44c114.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.272729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under60c110.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.088350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over58c102.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.659141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5610945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Over65c96.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0412147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under44c84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.046048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under44c84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.044744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Over60c83.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813240.9%54 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821e…4e0ebacked Over65c78.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.96862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under44c66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9611238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.969744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over49c65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6530750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under44c64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.848946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.64944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.65651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.68747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Under44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under44c59.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.592657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under37c58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.726749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under44c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.368951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under45c55.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.643571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under44c55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81,08041.7%450 W · 630 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.453345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf600…5ca7backed Under39c43.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.47245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.414349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42544%11 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.463345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under44c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.286152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under44c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.167548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.047456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.044447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.047352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.047153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.046349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.043545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under44c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.047458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under44c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.927250%36 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed Over64c31.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Under37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b72…5b75backed Under76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.85750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x935d…4605backed Under43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under44c29.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Under39c26.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.443145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.446246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.443046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.444358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.446653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.443050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.447553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.446149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Under79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.151181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.