Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fe99264b783ae5a71d595dc02c4820fe98ed6f0c54d0febc8e039546bbbcbc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf46e…d15ebacked Under | 17c | 3,068$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,173$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,444$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.74 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 16c | 1,428$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.52 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 16c | 784.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.66 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 17c | 627.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.27 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 19c | 595.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.06 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 491.06$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 18c | 249.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 16c | 179$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 139.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Under | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 81.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 51c | 64.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Under | 57c | 54.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 33.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Under | 45c | 32.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Over | 41c | 32.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 50c | 23.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 67c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 52c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.