Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665cc46b1a21064f7e330dc7bfa1fb58cbed853faaafdc4333d2dcce4b99ea04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,301$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.59 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 42c | 706.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.68 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 528.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked No | 58c | 194.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 64c | 164.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 65c | 154.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 65c | 153.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 59c | 135.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 132.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 38c | 127$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 123.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 45c | 111.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 44c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 63c | 87.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 69.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 40c | 66.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Yes | 58c | 65.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…ea5cbacked No | 41c | 50.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed No | 43c | 46.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked No | 50c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 50c | 41.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…68d8backed No | 41c | 39.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 52c | 38.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…c497backed Yes | 61c | 33.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 46c | 32.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 62c | 29.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Yes | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 51c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Yes | 63c | 20.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 60c | 17.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.