Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ccda7cdffa1acf2f1d7761399b3a481a32d3a6160c26024b067d0bbd6fb760a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 10,050$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 37c | 7,368$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,645.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 39c | 6,416$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 67c | 1,347$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.45 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 1,240$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 65c | 750.05$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 58c | 663.43$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.13 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 77c | 461.57$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.84 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 446.72$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 25c | 433.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 413.44$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 43c | 347.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 38c | 246$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 39c | 237.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 66c | 226.21$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…e749backed Over | 26c | 154.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 29c | 118.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 45c | 112$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 110.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 32c | 106.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 22c | 100.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Under | 67c | 97.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 64c | 93.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Under | 79c | 78.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Over | 35c | 66.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 34c | 58.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…2209backed Over | 47c | 56.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 38c | 53.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked Over | 22c | 50.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 54c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Under | 72c | 31.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 38c | 28.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Over | 38c | 27.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 39c | 26.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 62c | 19.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Under | 76c | 13.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.