Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76806f758c9cf02f2526ae64f8e90cf11afe06f8d29b7139719b1c7110f4860b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6880…5efdbacked Over | 64c | 7,308$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 4,608$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.73 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…0772backed Under | 41c | 2,413$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,792$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 38c | 964.31$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 886.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.67 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 51c | 701.4$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 32c | 533.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 433.72$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 387.28$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 47c | 255.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 40c | 245.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 61c | 232.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 57c | 219.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 202.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 70c | 166.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Under | 40c | 134.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 121.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 32c | 113$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Under | 36c | 85.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 68c | 82.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Under | 49c | 81.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 50c | 74.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 51c | 73.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 36c | 69.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 66c | 52.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 34c | 52.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf29…7a51backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 53c | 41.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Under | 36c | 38.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 39c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 46c | 35.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 65c | 34.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 32.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 68c | 32.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 30.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 29.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 61c | 28.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 63c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.