South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19d23b44b03063cfe8750fae191d0d1d038ceb5f9da83e6d78739e4042ca4f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 9,976$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,351.54 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 7,650$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,865.21 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 3,687$2,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.76 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 2,582$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 26c | 856.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.12 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 646.13$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.95 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 643.28$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 489.64$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.47 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 4c | 460$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 38c | 418.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.42 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 76c | 269.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 241.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.18 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 65c | 229.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 216.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 38c | 202.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 66c | 197.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 38c | 188.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 38c | 160.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked No | 69c | 148.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 26c | 148.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…b4aebacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 31c | 113.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked No | 63c | 101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 62c | 92.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 36c | 89.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 81.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 81.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 57c | 81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 63c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 33c | 71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 37c | 70.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 64c | 61.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 57.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 73c | 53.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 74c | 51.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 65c | 46.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 33.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 72c | 31.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed No | 64c | 24.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 73c | 21.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 72c | 18.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed No | 64c | 16.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…91d6backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.