South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00c2c9fab067de72e9f8cbf952f26378820635e9c64b1d8b3cabb4accf1a5352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 39c | 2,832$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.74 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 1,621$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 770.64$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 750$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.64 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 66c | 571.96$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 520.22$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.77 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 61c | 210.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 14c | 113.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 37c | 107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…99f6backed Yes | 38c | 99.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 17c | 87.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 34c | 68.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Yes | 39c | 66.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 64c | 47.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Yes | 37c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 73c | 22.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will Querétaro FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.