Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf1c65e175450b60a6d4ed98f4d80d349460d243b7a91dad52ca637f66c96ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 0c | 23,179$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,445$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 1c | 1,804$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 71c | 922.55$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Over | 32c | 800.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 471.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 34c | 442.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.12 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…0615backed Over | 31c | 389$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…6e5ebacked Under | 68c | 389$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Under | 66c | 387.46$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Under | 23c | 277.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 223.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 36c | 223.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 221.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 34c | 209.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 15c | 195.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Over | 8c | 150$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 34c | 148.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 142.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 92.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 46c | 85.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…91cfbacked Over | 59c | 84.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b89…3380backed Over | 41c | 83.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 51c | 79.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 31c | 78.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 34c | 74.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 36c | 62.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 39c | 62.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Under | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 41c | 48.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Under | 63c | 39.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 34c | 35.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…580fbacked Under | 64c | 32.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 61c | 21.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Under | 68c | 16.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.