Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490c4be6a8ee00989e8c2e406a0042df91661ddcb787b335baaf67d0ef84ca2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 3,283$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 46c | 3,249$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 24c | 1,170$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.74 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Under | 46c | 938.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 872.2$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.04 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Over | 34c | 735.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 45c | 586.14$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.61 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 39c | 510.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 54c | 485.53$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 56c | 457.5$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Under | 52c | 378.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Under | 46c | 327.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 56c | 297.46$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 57c | 263.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…4cd8backed Over | 69c | 216.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 56c | 198.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Under | 46c | 187.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Over | 55c | 180.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 145.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 44c | 138.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 29c | 134.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 32c | 134.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 54c | 131.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 112.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 110.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 56c | 107.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked Over | 41c | 83.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf976…5ebebacked Over | 56c | 80.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 39c | 64.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Over | 57c | 60.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 46c | 46.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…580fbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Over | 51c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 36c | 36.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Over | 56c | 35.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 32.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Under | 56c | 30.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 47c | 28.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Under | 61c | 28.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 58c | 27.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…d81abacked Over | 48c | 25.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…2834backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.