Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb696f7a54aebb7601ea1a2d14162c8233e79ef775437ba1fad5365cc888aa047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,300$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 908.64$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 21c | 651.35$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 629.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.1 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 79c | 628.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 23c | 612.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 21c | 542.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 538.06$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.79 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 390.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 79c | 371.68$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 72c | 344.44$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 52c | 336$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 80c | 311.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821e…4e0ebacked Over | 79c | 303.72$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 69c | 291.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 57c | 250.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…9238backed Under | 33c | 200.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…790fbacked Under | 22c | 191.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Over | 79c | 120.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…da86backed Over | 78c | 92.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 51c | 89.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Over | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 73c | 78.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 21c | 77.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 77c | 75.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37cb…1952backed Under | 25c | 72.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…3667backed Over | 79c | 67.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 21c | 61.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…d61bbacked Under | 48c | 60.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Under | 36c | 58.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…fb10backed Over | 51c | 56.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 77c | 54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 49c | 51.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 36c | 47.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 51c | 46.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 78c | 40.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…91cfbacked Over | 55c | 36.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…5f59backed Over | 80c | 31.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Over | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd9…f0f2backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 64c | 26.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 79c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 78c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2545…6edebacked Over | 78c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.