Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4dc660733f77b86ecbb9d338f5250630f054447e00a6a0377598ed7b655007f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Arkansas Razorbacks, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x306c…51f2backed LSU Tigers | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 10,000$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed LSU Tigers | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 5,218$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.31 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked LSU Tigers | 34c | 4,242$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.05 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked LSU Tigers | 33c | 3,939$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 65c | 3,899$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed LSU Tigers | 34c | 3,638$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.01 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 3,498$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 3,420$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.73 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 3,000$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.38 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked LSU Tigers | 34c | 2,458$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.04 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 1,836$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.98 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 1,591$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed LSU Tigers | 34c | 1,197$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.33 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked LSU Tigers | 34c | 970$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.8 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 959.34$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed LSU Tigers | 27c | 914.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed LSU Tigers | 33c | 898$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 845.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed LSU Tigers | 16c | 832.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked LSU Tigers | 30c | 684.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed LSU Tigers | 33c | 681.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked LSU Tigers | 34c | 555.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.01 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked LSU Tigers | 33c | 536.47$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.57 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 16c | 472$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…55f7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed LSU Tigers | 35c | 385.6$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 69c | 360.39$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 303.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked LSU Tigers | 33c | 302.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed LSU Tigers | 35c | 286.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 281.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked LSU Tigers | 29c | 232$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 69c | 214.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.71 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LSU Tigers | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 178.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked LSU Tigers | 32c | 138.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed LSU Tigers | 31c | 125.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed LSU Tigers | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed LSU Tigers | 33c | 113.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked LSU Tigers | 23c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed LSU Tigers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked LSU Tigers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU Tigers | 30c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 92.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LSU Tigers | 23c | 81.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed LSU Tigers | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LSU Tigers | 26c | 75.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked LSU Tigers | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 70.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed LSU Tigers | 30c | 66.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed LSU Tigers | 33c | 66.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed LSU Tigers | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…089dbacked LSU Tigers | 36c | 62.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…3bb8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 58.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…556abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 66c | 58.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LSU Tigers | 33c | 56.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 56.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 38.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 69c | 37.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed LSU Tigers | 34c | 36.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed LSU Tigers | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked LSU Tigers | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 20.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 14.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigersthis page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-4.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.