TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35fe…556a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.92
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.04
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.09
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.91
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.71
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.24
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.71
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.34
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.1
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5)backed Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.94
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.99
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.57
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$13.61
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.28
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$28.7
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.36
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$19.04
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.14
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.55
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$25.19
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+159.8%+$31.95
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$24.23
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+60.3%+$15.07
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.4%+$12.55
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$108.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+41.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35%+$18.76
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.