Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99bf8574e8a0c52a149b98ee864f6c95ea5398bcbb287ea2a2959be641d86176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof Oklahoma State Cowboys, Wichita State Shockers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,103 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 1,404$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 766.09$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 27c | 721.21$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 496.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 478.5$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 461.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wichita State Shockers | 61c | 351.21$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 294.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.37 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 25c | 272.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 41c | 197.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 40c | 165.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 44c | 146.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 44c | 112.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 97.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 41c | 96.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 21c | 95.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 33c | 70.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 49c | 69.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wichita State Shockers | 73c | 64.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 49c | 57.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…70f1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 55.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…f85fbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 46.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 34.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wichita State Shockers | 75c | 33.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 33.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 45c | 31.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Wichita State Shockers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 46c | 25.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…556abacked Wichita State Shockers | 68c | 24.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Wichita State Shockers | 58c | 23.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-2.5)Wichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State CowboysWichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 164.5Over won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 165.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.