TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 164.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,620 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c10,228$5,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,301.9674051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c3,583$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.861,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c3,579$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.883,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under44c2,562$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1264,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c2,326$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.3812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c1,508$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.95,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under3c1,505$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.15160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c1,454$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.181,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c879.86$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.331,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Under52c714.85$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.723053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over45c707.27$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5452843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over47c688.95$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over47c577.43$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.863554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under54c550.73$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3924847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under45c521.63$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.819147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Under54c404.45$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.42326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under55c360.58$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.271,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under63c356.04$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.313372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c355.65$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.612,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Under15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under50c297.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.692948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over37c268.07$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8832246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c231.67$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.423,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under55c225.3$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9211257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over37c202.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.771,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under55c180.24$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c170.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4262451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under28c142$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.029725.8%25 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over68c130.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01f3…9afbbacked Under16c123.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9150%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c121.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7491848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over37c107.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5515238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.594252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under53c93.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5622250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c88.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.821,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under56c88.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under52c81.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.273,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over76c77.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.278754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over60c74.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87856.4%44 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over48c73.35$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1461244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Over46c69.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.771729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under47c64.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1433445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over48c60.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6327650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.87443.2%32 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c59.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0117551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over50c59.3$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.651,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over52c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.886636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under48c55.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6511854.2%64 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under62c52.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5224951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c51.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.848551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Over48c51.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x800d…47afbacked Over47c50.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe565…6a38backed Over47c50.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3fd…682dbacked Over47c50.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over48c49.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.067558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Under55c46.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7710849.1%53 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Under54c45.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over48c43.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5929650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over48c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6530050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over48c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6524148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over48c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6532850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over48c41.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4833058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Under28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.22441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over55c39.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5719153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under53c35.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6810458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed Over50c34.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Over59c32.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+37.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Over37c30.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.254753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0850548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e90…188dbacked Under54c27.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Under50c25.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.766956.5%39 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over47c23.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.