Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x895153180803cbe434d425050e2f8c95eede1f58c1edfc23f1433cc19a411258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Georgia Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 6,056$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.55 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida Gators | 49c | 4,487$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.12 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Florida Gators | 51c | 2,513$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.33 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Florida Gators | 48c | 2,316$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Florida Gators | 47c | 2,267$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.48 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 1,157$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.61 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Florida Gators | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 811.5$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 49c | 799.51$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 752.12$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.62 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators | 47c | 518.89$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Florida Gators | 48c | 279.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Florida Gators | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 159$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 54c | 107.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Florida Gators | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Florida Gators | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 94.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 65.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 62.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida Gators | 48c | 62.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Florida Gators | 50c | 60.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Florida Gators | 49c | 51.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…556abacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 50.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 47.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 47.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Florida Gators | 50c | 43.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 32.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Georgia Bulldogs | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Florida Gators | 47c | 22.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 19.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Georgia BulldogsFlorida Gators won
- Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.