Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba631ead477e58265634fef4cadc1dc4b39d7cb9b65cee6dea927efeb22fffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Georgia Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Florida Gators | 56c | 32,300$18,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,212 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 23,366$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,281.2 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 6,720$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.8 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 2,907$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.56 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 56c | 2,332$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Georgia Bulldogs | 45c | 1,865$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.98 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 954.55$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 70c | 754.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Florida Gators | 57c | 704.15$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 445.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Florida Gators | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Georgia Bulldogs | 10c | 368$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Florida Gators | 58c | 358.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Georgia Bulldogs | 47c | 286.91$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Florida Gators | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators | 53c | 203.82$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Florida Gators | 57c | 169.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 90.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Florida Gators | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Florida Gators | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Georgia Bulldogs | 43c | 75.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Georgia Bulldogs | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Florida Gators | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 45c | 42.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Florida Gators | 60c | 41.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 40.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Georgia Bulldogs | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…5695backed Georgia Bulldogs | 43c | 33.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…34f2backed Florida Gators | 58c | 32.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Florida Gators | 56c | 32.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1131…6181backed Georgia Bulldogs | 43c | 31.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b7…7611backed Florida Gators | 58c | 29.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…841bbacked Florida Gators | 58c | 28.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…aa59backed Georgia Bulldogs | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…3253backed Florida Gators | 58c | 26.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…1a7cbacked Florida Gators | 58c | 24.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…faefbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 43c | 24.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 39cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Florida Gators | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Georgia Bulldogs | 44c | 22.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Florida Gators | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Florida Gators | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Georgia BulldogsFlorida Gators won
- Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-8.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.