Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309e05301ca6c2fdc6ae54472091f1499375fd23144cde2f6b9e3889682205e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Vanderbilt Commodores, Arkansas Razorbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 55c | 55,369$30,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,655 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 57c | 30,000$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,199.96 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 25,973$11,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,850.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 20,917$9,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,504.47 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 20,591$8,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,943 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 55c | 12,138$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,675.92 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2526backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 1c | 12,013$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 39c | 11,585$4,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 57c | 11,498$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,964.2 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 9,908$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,548.58 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…46a0backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 8,852$4,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 70c | 8,413$5,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.36 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 55c | 7,294$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.96 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 6,218$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.95 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 5,459$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.89 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 5,312$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.7 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 3,366$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.53 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 3,121$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.51 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 2,760$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 2,460$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.51 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 2,419$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.26 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 2,301$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.79 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 2,293$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.55 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 40c | 2,235$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 58c | 1,714$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 1,687$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 1,372$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.34 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 57c | 1,258$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 1,240$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.48 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 1,191$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.09 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 1,062$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 1,020$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.29 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 57c | 998.72$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 996.41$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.03 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 985.85$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 890.55$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…e103backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 730$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 676.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.63 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 660.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 47c | 611.72$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 610.4$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 29c | 605.77$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 602.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.12 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 57c | 594.89$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 46c | 590.52$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.33 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 587.23$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 582.34$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.56 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 27c | 576.4$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 4c | 498.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 497.83$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 55c | 490.01$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.29 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 485.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…500fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 479.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 35c | 418.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 72c | 413.73$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.88 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 407.14$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.73 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 401.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 379.46$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e7…2fbbbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 58c | 366.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 67c | 361.82$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.81 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…fb74backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 58c | 356.93$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 64c | 340$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 324.74$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 54c | 320$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 319.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…f0f6backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 314.4$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 298.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 36c | 297.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 51c | 297.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.71 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 55c | 279.79$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 55c | 272.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 264.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 45c | 263.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…a1afbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 57c | 260.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 42c | 256.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.07 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 45c | 255.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 23c | 253.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 52c | 249.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ed…cbbebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 247.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…f1b0backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 58c | 242.91$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 235.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…cb79backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 58c | 233$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 230.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 44c | 230.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.11 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…da9dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 226.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…d331backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 220.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 30c | 211.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 211.32$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 51c | 204.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 28c | 204.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 39c | 199.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 57c | 198.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599e…0277backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 198.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…f0dabacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 56c | 198.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 43c | 198.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksthis page
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-1.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-2.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-3.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-2.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 164.5Under won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 165.5Under won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 166.5Under won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 167.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.