TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,504 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under53c105,076$55,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,690.1944452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Over47c51,000$23,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0304654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Over47c50,000$23,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,499.993732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd058…c532backed Over47c49,000$23,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,970475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Over45c36,790$16,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,234.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c31,998$14,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,392.082,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c11,919$5,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,503.0612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50018548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Over47c8,724$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.828748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over46c7,457$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.5712251.6%63 W · 59 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Over47c5,800$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.039839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Under54c5,700$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0781838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Over47c3,600$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9082330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over45c3,543$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.6514346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over46c3,233$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.5621248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a19…8f5bbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…aa14backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over46c3,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61012344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over46c2,111$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.284147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c2…09b0backed Over48c2,000$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Over47c1,988$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.382853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f7d…ac98backed Over47c1,950$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c1,884$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.346246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c1,831$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.555,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over46c1,828$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.9418048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over45c1,499$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.684353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over45c1,432$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over46c1,383$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.5640755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Over47c1,213$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.68825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Over47c1,137$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.855843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over47c1,094$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58114447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9535147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over47c1,005$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.556149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2b…31f8backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fab…bdb3backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c999.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under36c856.97$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.992,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over44c836.09$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.0739454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over46c819$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2622043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Over46c768.26$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.862250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb4…cac8backed Over47c751.73$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over47c746.51$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.658946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Under58c731.64$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.355750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under56c725.85$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.027540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under59c612.82$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.5723754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over42c596.9$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.218556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Over45c566.16$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.393050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over25c564.47$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.985,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over18c495.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.414,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c469.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Over46c463.33$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.23745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Over42c425.34$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.74353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over13c409.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.71,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over47c406.43$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4122954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Under31c398.72$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.354025%10 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Over46c387.9$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.475757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Over45c371.75$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.465959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over71c343.48$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.88754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over42c323.33$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.536743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over46c323.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.565561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Over46c315.8$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.538855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over46c301.7$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.921,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over43c281.26$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.323348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over23c270.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.443,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over46c269.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4630853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under57c250.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over41c246.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.431,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over46c226.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.052268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over44c222.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3630152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3982846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0703…f805backed Over46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.373357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3734746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Over43c208.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.936261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over47c207.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.935054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Over47c207.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.935552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed Over48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.392055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5432…6941backed Over48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6417…2ce4backed Under52c203.49$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x314a…60f0backed Under52c203.49$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11637246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under56c198.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.981,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Over45c180.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.337546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x087b…713ebacked Over45c174.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.171040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Over46c173.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under26c163.9$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.362948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over46c150.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.746963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x991e…b69abacked Under59c149.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Over45c141.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.973375.8%25 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb389…f59cbacked Over45c140.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.784854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over46c128.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.598245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under52c125.21$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.561,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over46c123.91$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.917258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over45c118.74$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3124737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over47c115.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.477360.3%44 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over47c115.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.476251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Over47c115.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.473033.3%10 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.