Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc788c0cc5c5b8bbc52fe601081fae6073f05a342f19c87f5ca3de6d7c2b8654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Over | 48c | 9,063$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,712.51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 65c | 4,000$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 3,500$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Over | 48c | 3,292$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.02 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Over | 48c | 2,082$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.46 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Over | 48c | 2,029$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.14 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 2,012$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Over | 52c | 1,981$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.66 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,750$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Over | 51c | 1,624$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 51c | 1,622$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.93 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 52c | 1,586$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.44 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 1,297$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.48 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 49c | 1,077$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.97 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,040$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 49c | 1,018$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.53 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 49c | 1,001$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…5e9ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 996.84$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.54 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…1e19backed Over | 48c | 780.87$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…ba96backed Over | 51c | 734.08$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 697.42$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.95 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 50c | 675.89$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.58 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Over | 49c | 578.06$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 50c | 399.65$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Under | 51c | 388.73$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 23c | 382.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 12c | 291.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 286.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 22c | 196.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 185.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Over | 49c | 146.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 139.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 136.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Over | 49c | 134.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 52c | 123.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Under | 51c | 116.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 99.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Over | 52c | 80.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 50c | 60.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 56c | 60.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 60.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 54c | 57.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 43c | 51.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 46c | 50.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Over | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…aa17backed Over | 48c | 33.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 24.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 46c | 22.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 161.5this page
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksMiami (OH) RedHawks won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 155.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 157.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 158.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 162.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 163.5Over won
- SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5Over won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-1.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-2.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-7.5)Miami (OH) RedHawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.