TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c30,844$16,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,556.961,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes46c27,055$12,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,609.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes48c12,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,24010445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No52c11,080$5,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,761.813250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c9,024$4,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,845.673,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes47c7,000$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7101546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes44c4,981$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.343548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.993056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes49c2,874$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.421947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb3…9818backed Yes49c2,851$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.01540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes48c2,187$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.53961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes46c2,159$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.511450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No53c2,057$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c1,904$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.161,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc610…fd2dbacked Yes45c1,795$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.871050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.1417549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No55c1,447$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.4811762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes48c1,397$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.0617652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No53c1,377$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.3462452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes46c1,294$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.7433244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes46c1,294$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.916149.2%30 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c834.31$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.2556951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c760.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.8738055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes46c757.69$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Yes45c665.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c619.09$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.1234547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes46c491.35$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.336428.1%18 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes43c453.49$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.492040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20831145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2121957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes47c373.34$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.654630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No53c367.09$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8316850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes44c362.7$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.491353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9119055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c310.19$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.562,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8415829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No56c258.07$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.525052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes47c230$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.94443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No56c222$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.323268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes48c208.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.735160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b6…d6d2backed No53c206.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c188.6$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8339857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes46c166.3$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.811843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes46c151.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.613426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes53c148.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.153551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes47c144$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.326660.6%40 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c127.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6578248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes47c110.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.414161%25 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes71c108.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.976936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No51c108.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2514934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes50c100.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.68939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9140…a914backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes45c97.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4620436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508950.6%45 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed No51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+68.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No51c80.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.946043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes49c71.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.797100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+98.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a93…bf7cbacked No56c69.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes48c67.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2118140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c65.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6981732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No55c60.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.452222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c58.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4538646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No54c56.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.671,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f6…6e92backed Yes46c54.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe406…4cc1backed Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-64.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe9e8…907dbacked Yes46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No21c51.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1338151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes44c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.887341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc3f…a9a6backed Yes45c43.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5520540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…0dfebacked Yes46c40.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.91070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+105.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes49c40.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.865215.4%8 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-48.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb589…8e2ebacked Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes47c38.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.598858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No52c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6210244.1%45 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.612646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9f…4b15backed Yes47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes42c31.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.553645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No56c31.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5548658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed No54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed No54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed No57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yes45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54427.3%12 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137545.3%34 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c49…1699backed Yes48c24.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x637a…a27cbacked No54c21.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68067.5%54 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.810771%76 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.