TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under33c6,306$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,225.051,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under50c5,743$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.3214852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over50c5,685$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.731,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over67c2,695$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over31c2,524$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.932442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over67c2,372$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.328166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Over63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9918132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over66c1,070$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.26552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over76c1,059$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.126858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over63c1,026$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.0297854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over67c959.18$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.6542735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under34c915$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under38c903.41$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.31,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under34c858.8$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.812,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under35c857.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.561,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over10c792.34$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.852544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under34c788.1$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.991,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under47c744.94$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.959460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under35c652.79$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8463742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Over65c626.95$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40610949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under32c576.67$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.247047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b0b…bd57backed Over2c571.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over66c560.27$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.8762451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under36c500$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.812,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8168…6857backed Under55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512943.4%56 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over67c458.43$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.1554529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under37c430.61$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.531,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under26c427.33$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.212,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under31c404.17$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.3931646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc531…73eabacked Under36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.466456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Under69c333$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.23742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Over31c333$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.231637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under34c331.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5216654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf1…bd6fbacked Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under40c303$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.528045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Over67c300$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20156650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19834849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over54c299.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4824649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over65c272.31$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Over53c257.91$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8569741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under29c251$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.421,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c7…b84abacked Under76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c249.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.222,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over55c248.73$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.751,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c222.11$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.932,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over72c208.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15092354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…9372backed Over55c200.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Over66c200$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8534960.2%210 W · 139 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Under38c200$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12521548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a3…f293backed Over71c199.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.993554.3%19 W · 16 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-25.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over56c181$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3646452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under48c166.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0819346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0026…b117backed Under52c164.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under35c162.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6626440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf808…dba3backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004831.3%15 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under43c154.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.191,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under42c153.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0257349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…5b2ebacked Over72c152.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9921747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Under34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0620739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over70c143.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over65c142.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9422748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over73c136.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c136.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.192,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over41c117.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7330731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over50c113.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6130146.2%139 W · 162 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under40c109.06$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0440637.7%153 W · 253 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Under35c102.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.861060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6624240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…557ebacked Over32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Over61c99.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9928647.9%137 W · 149 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Over64c99.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69735.1%34 W · 63 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over35c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd471…7a7fbacked Under35c85.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over67c84.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4663944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed Under23c82.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.616738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under28c82.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under36c80.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.211,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under39c80.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9717632.4%57 W · 119 L-15.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Over58c79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.823554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2082…fdffbacked Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507070%49 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506984.1%58 W · 11 L+15.9wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+36.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed Under30c76.03$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.223151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Over66c75.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014358.7%84 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over66c71.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.48750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40f…2335backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over57c60.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.352,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over66c60.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021652.3%113 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over50c60.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0935844.4%159 W · 199 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Over65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3985554.7%468 W · 387 L+33.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.661746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3e…df5dbacked Over54c57.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1465754.5%358 W · 299 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Under18c55.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.562714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.520542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.