Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a1414473e6715e8390da6d8d37e6f9ed1dc134cf47cdaa77430b75d0f51fbb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 59c | 1,135$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.44 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 40c | 916.14$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.49 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 60c | 677.18$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.88 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 41c | 668.66$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.15 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 40c | 599.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…62c8backed Over | 58c | 344.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…4d93backed Over | 42c | 309.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Over | 65c | 235.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…731bbacked Over | 55c | 190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Over | 41c | 149.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Over | 41c | 140.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 58c | 128.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…2c01backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 40c | 58.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over | 50c | 55.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Under | 51c | 50.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…c06fbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…000ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.