TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked LYON31c22,130$6,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,354.581,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LYON32c22,074$7,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,005.7591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked FURIA Esports70c9,113$6,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,419.8829443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA Esports67c8,004$5,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,362.6990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed FURIA Esports70c7,500$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,22514553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA Esports68c4,500$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,06082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked FURIA Esports65c3,880$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.2632555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA Esports69c3,500$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.3459554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA Esports68c3,250$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.991,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA Esports67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6751,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed FURIA Esports69c1,644$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.37463.5%47 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA Esports71c1,620$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.53,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed LYON32c1,587$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed LYON32c1,545$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.4557957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9722backed FURIA Esports54c1,424$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.999944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked FURIA Esports69c1,400$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96610243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed FURIA Esports68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9947047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed FURIA Esports67c999.99$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.993860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked FURIA Esports68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.999046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA Esports67c999$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.331,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked LYON39c953.07$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8689050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked FURIA Esports68c917.67$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.6623948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed FURIA Esports62c789.43$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3397854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked FURIA Esports68c662.75$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.6732350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LYON31c650$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.52,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…1d94backed LYON32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4252458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked FURIA Esports70c603.04$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.68750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed LYON31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8728250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked LYON77c471.97$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9432442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA Esports55c429.4$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1726729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked LYON43c387.05$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.231,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FURIA Esports69c384.86$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5596054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed LYON46c328.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.59460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LYON32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.580832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked LYON32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.519052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked LYON33c304.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7419745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FURIA Esports69c300.3$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.679745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked FURIA Esports69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20727745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…4d0dbacked FURIA Esports70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked LYON28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974b…076ebacked LYON29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2139457.4%54 W · 40 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb627…2d13backed LYON36c277.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1251552.6%271 W · 244 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed LYON66c275.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.21,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked FURIA Esports70c271.01$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed LYON55c237.82$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.211,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked LYON31c234$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4620143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed FURIA Esports33c233.79$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.261,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed LYON35c215.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1569741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked FURIA Esports73c209.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2912347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked FURIA Esports68c203.44$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3460243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed LYON40c201$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4158042.4%246 W · 334 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked LYON33c200$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13413551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed FURIA Esports56c198$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.181,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked LYON39c181$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5246452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked LYON46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9128942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked LYON29c170.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2546552.7%245 W · 220 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed LYON45c155.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854b…8f97backed LYON14c153.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed FURIA Esports66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9921747%102 W · 115 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed FURIA Esports70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017457.5%100 W · 74 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a56…be30backed FURIA Esports70c140.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.942751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed FURIA Esports48c121.05$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3822758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd1…557ebacked FURIA Esports67c115.13$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.472540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…7449backed LYON28c106.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports49c106.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.692,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked LYON29c104.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.71,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed LYON31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6964443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked LYON67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3336155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511d…3633backed LYON31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9916356.4%92 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed FURIA Esports68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9926048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked LYON31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9926856%150 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports72c97.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.92,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked LYON46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed FURIA Esports73c90$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.614850.7%75 W · 73 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…890cbacked LYON33c89.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5715255.3%84 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked FURIA Esports67c83.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9424832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked FURIA Esports58c79.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5985554.7%468 W · 387 L+33.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked LYON29c79.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3910657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked LYON32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1319840.4%80 W · 118 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed LYON53c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6233263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked FURIA Esports66c74.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4534849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed LYON28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed FURIA Esports70c70.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked LYON46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.84540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8dbebacked LYON31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.525543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked LYON26c63.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9148847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed LYON32c63.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2926150.6%132 W · 129 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked LYON31c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.761746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed FURIA Esports67c58.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.892548%12 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3e…df5dbacked LYON45c57.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed FURIA Esports18c55.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-22.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA Esports70c54.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9863944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7200…8557backed LYON47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.193253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed LYON29c53.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.526248.4%30 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed LYON49c51.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2221150.7%107 W · 104 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked LYON40c50.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2821457%122 W · 92 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd855…c823backed LYON46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ee…26e6backed LYON32c47.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22544%11 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-31.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed FURIA Esports45c45.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.581,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed LYON45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.