Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminoles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda90c1e978c8575eba19378f555a176e4c3822db8b68dc20f5f5108aa7b3366f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida State Seminolesof Stanford Cardinal, Florida State Seminoles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 42c | 58,362$24,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,356.44 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles | 58c | 23,296$13,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,774.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 23,210$13,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,630.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Florida State Seminoles | 58c | 4,400$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.99 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stanford Cardinal | 22c | 2,285$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida State Seminoles | 78c | 1,993$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.61 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 1,730$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.36 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 1,594$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.44 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida State Seminoles | 73c | 1,198$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.77 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 1,100$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.97 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 1,037$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.8 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 1,025$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.75 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 868$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.16 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 6c | 817.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 637$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.43 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 485.22$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Stanford Cardinal | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 354.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 343$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State Seminoles | 64c | 331.67$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 330.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 302.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 267.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 222$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 207.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 10c | 202.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 187$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 177.33$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 55c | 176$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Florida State Seminoles | 55c | 175.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 174$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 139.7$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stanford Cardinal | 31c | 131.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stanford Cardinal | 26c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 96.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 86.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stanford Cardinal | 40c | 76.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Florida State Seminoles | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 66.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 58.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Stanford Cardinal | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stanford Cardinal | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida State Seminoles | 66c | 47.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 45.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 45.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 42.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Stanford Cardinal | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Florida State Seminoles | 55c | 30.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…5b75backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Florida State Seminoles | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 23.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Florida State Seminoles | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminolesthis page
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-2.5)Florida State Seminoles won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 150.5Over won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.