Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37c42ee37454f6151b82bf2127b1502655d0fcf5da47bd7a74f3d2a84e85cc19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 60,247$31,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,742.6 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 30,415$15,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,431.69 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 26,999$12,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,958.43 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 12,121$5,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,674.99 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.43 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 48c | 2,257$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.42 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 47c | 884$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 197.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 144.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 47c | 98.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Under | 50c | 73.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 45c | 63.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under | 47c | 61.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 49c | 59.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 47c | 54.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 47.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 45.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…60d5backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 150.5this page
- Spread: Florida State Seminoles (-2.5)Florida State Seminoles won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State SeminolesFlorida State Seminoles won
- Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminoles: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.