Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c0c6f5e77326e8a0f4ac8d15c25c95443f130add8fd44cbd0c589d690acdbda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 3,667$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…6f1abacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Under | 72c | 529.26$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.48 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 347.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.95 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 42c | 166.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 36c | 162.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 50c | 159.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…20ebbacked Under | 66c | 113.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 32c | 98.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Over | 24c | 82.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Over | 17c | 72.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 44.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 33c | 40.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 55c | 40.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…5373backed Under | 50c | 32.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.